{"id":388,"date":"2013-01-15T17:56:16","date_gmt":"2013-01-16T01:56:16","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/savingusmanufacturing.com\/blog\/?p=388"},"modified":"2013-01-15T17:56:16","modified_gmt":"2013-01-16T01:56:16","slug":"congress-hasnt-averted-the-real-fiscal-cliff-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/savingusmanufacturing.com\/blog\/national-security\/congress-hasnt-averted-the-real-fiscal-cliff-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Congress Hasn&#8217;t Averted the Real Fiscal Cliff"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The \u201ckick the can\u201d legislation that passed in the wee hours  of January 1<sup>st<\/sup> didn\u2019t address the real economic issues threatening a  fiscal cliff for the United States ? the massive trade deficit and the rapidly  escalating national debt. This article will show how these two economic issues  are interrelated.<\/p>\n<p>The trade deficit grew from a low of $91 million in 1969 to  a peak of $698.3 billion in 2008, dropping down to$379 billion in 2009 due to  the worldwide recession before climbing back up to $559.8 billion in 2011. Final  figures for 2012 are not available yet, but the trade deficit through the first  11 months of 2012 is running at an annual rate of $546.6 billion. <a href=\"http:\/\/savingusmanufacturing.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/01\/Trade-Deficit-Chart.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-389 aligncenter\" title=\"Trade Deficit Chart\" src=\"http:\/\/savingusmanufacturing.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/01\/Trade-Deficit-Chart-300x162.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"586\" height=\"224\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Our trade deficit with China grew from only $6  million in 1985 to a high of $295.4 billion in 2011, after it had  dropped down to $226.8 billion in 2009 during the recession. China\u2019s  portion of America\u2019s trade deficit has nearly tripled ? from 22 percent in 2000  to 60 percent in 2009 and 52.7 percent in 2011. In the 11 years since China  joined the WTO, the <strong>U.S. trade deficit with China has grown by 330  percent<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>The national debt has grown from $5.6 trillion in 2000 to  <strong>$16.4 trillion<\/strong> on January 12<sup>th<\/sup>. As of July 2012, <a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/United_States_public_debt\">$5.3 trillion<\/a> or approximately 48% of the debt held by the public was owned by foreign  investors, the largest of which were China and Japan at just over $1.1 trillion  each.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe estimated population of the United States is  <strong>314,243,893 <\/strong>so each citizen&#8217;s share of this debt is <a href=\"http:\/\/www.brillig.com\/debt_clock\/\"><strong>$52,304.77<\/strong><\/a>. The National  Debt has continued to increase an average of <strong>$3.84 billion per day<\/strong> since  September 28, 2007!\u201d<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/savingusmanufacturing.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/01\/Gross-Public-Debt-Chart.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-medium wp-image-390\" title=\"Gross Public Debt Chart\" src=\"http:\/\/savingusmanufacturing.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/01\/Gross-Public-Debt-Chart-300x150.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"443\" height=\"207\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>As you can see, the debt accelerated after the  economic collapse in the fall of 2008 and has continued to accelerate since  because of the <a href=\"http:\/\/zfacts.com\/p\/318.html\">recession<\/a>, automatic  increases in unemployment benefits, food stamps, and social security payments  for early retirement, as well as stimulus spending. The all-time record of  increasing the debt by $1.1 trillion was set by President Bush in 100 days  between July 30 and Nov 9, 2008 to avert the economic collapse of major banks  and Wall Street companies. \u201cRecessions cut tax revenues\u2014in this case,  dramatically, which accounts for nearly half of the deficit.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><strong> <\/strong>According to Tom <a href=\"http:\/\/www.moneynews.com\/Economy\/Donohue-Chamber-Commerce-debt\/2013\/01\/11\/id\/471011\">Donohue<\/a>,  head of the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, the nation\u2019s largest business lobbying  group, \u201cThe single biggest threat to our economic future \u2026 is our exploding  national debt, driven by runaway deficit spending, changing demographics and  unsustainable entitlements,\u201d he said in his annual \u201cState of American Business\u201d  address.<\/p>\n<p>The reason why our massive trade deficit and escalating  national debt are interrelated is that they share a common factor:\u00a0  the American manufacturing industry and the jobs it generates or the jobs  it has lost.<\/p>\n<p>According to the Information Technology and Innovation  Foundation <a href=\"http:\/\/www.itif.org\/publications\/worse-great-depression-what-experts-are-missing-about-american-manufacturing-decline\">report<\/a>,  the U. S lost 5.7 million  manufacturing jobs in the decade of 2000 to 2010, more than the total  number of manufacturing jobs than the rate of loss in the Great Depression (33.1  % vs. 30.9%). Manufacturing jobs now only make up 9% of the American  workforce, down from about 14% in 2000. Two million manufacturing jobs were lost  in the Great Recession, adding to the 3.7 million we had already lost. Less than  10% have returned since the end of the recession. The report concludes:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>A large share of  manufacturing jobs was lost in the last decade because the United States lost  its competitive edge for manufacturing. It was due to a failure of U.S. policy,  not superior productivity.<\/li>\n<li>The loss was cataclysmic  and unprecedented, and it continues to severely impact the overall U.S.  economy.<\/li>\n<li>Regaining U.S.  manufacturing competitiveness to the point where America has balanced its trade  in manufacturing products is critical to restoring U.S. economic  vibrancy.<\/li>\n<li>Regaining manufacturing  competitiveness will create millions of higher-than-average-wage manufacturing  jobs, as well as an even greater number of jobs from the multiplier effect on  other sectors of the economy.<\/li>\n<li>The United States can  restore manufacturing competitiveness and balance manufacturing goods trade  within less than a decade if it adopts the right set of policies in what can be  termed the \u201cfour T\u2019s\u201d (tax, trade, talent, and technology).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The Economic Policy Institute  briefing <a href=\"http:\/\/www.epi.org\/files\/2012\/bp345-china-growing-trade-deficit-cost.pdf\">paper<\/a>,  \u201cThe China Toll,\u201d written by Robert Scott focuses on the effects of our trade  deficit with China. He wrote, \u201cGrowing U.S. trade deficit with China cost more  than 2.7 million jobs between 2001 and 2011, with job losses in every state.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cBetween 2001 and 2011, the trade deficit with China  eliminated or displaced more than 2.7 million U.S. jobs, over 2.1 million of  which (76.9 percent) were in manufacturing. These lost manufacturing jobs  account for more than half of all U.S. manufacturing jobs lost or displaced  between 2001 and 2011.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The growing trade deficit with China has been a prime  contributor to the crisis in U.S. manufacturing employment. When you take into  account the multiplier effect of manufacturing jobs creating three to four other  jobs, the U. S. has lost six to eight million jobs as a result of the trade  deficit with China alone. The Department of Commerce estimates that each  $1 billion in trade deficit translates to about 13,000 lost jobs, so the $559.8  billion in the total trade deficit for 2011 represents a loss of 7,277,400 jobs.  This explains why we have had a virtually jobless recovery since the end  of the recession and why the unemployment rate has stayed high for so long.<\/p>\n<p>The average manufacturing job nationwide pays about  $40,000 per year ($20\/hour). According to the 2012 federal tax table, a person  making that amount of money would pay about $4,000 to $5,000 per year in taxes,  depending on whether they are single or have one dependent. Without doing the  complicated math to calculate the number of lost manufacturing jobs each year  times the taxes those workers would have paid, you can see that the result could  be trillions of dollars in lost tax revenue since the year 2000.<\/p>\n<p>Adding this lost tax revenue to the cost of an  unemployed worker in the form of unemployment benefits (about $15,000 year for a  $40,000\/year job) and possibly food stamps, you can understand the major cause  of why our national debt has escalated so dramatically in the last ten years. We  could raise income taxes to the highest rates of European countries such as  Sweden (75%) and still not be able to pay down our national debt. The solution  is not raising taxes, it is creating more tax payers, especially those employed  in the higher paying jobs of the manufacturing industry. Our trade policies that  result in such huge trade deficits and loss of manufacturing jobs have  transformed taxpayers into tax consumers.<\/p>\n<p>Because of our trade deficit with  China and our national debt, we are essentially writing two checks to China  every month:\u00a0 one to pay for the cost of the imports we buy and the  other to pay for the cost of borrowing money from China to pay for the cost of  running our government.\u00a0 By maintaining this trade deficit, we are  sending our tax revenue to China; then, we borrow a portion of it back to pay  our expenses. This is unsustainable!<\/p>\n<p>We are at a cross roads in our country. We must change our  tax, trade, and regulatory policies to rebuild our manufacturing industry to  increase the number of taxpayers if we ever want to pay down our national debt,  reduce our unemployment rates, and avoid economic collapse.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The \u201ckick the can\u201d legislation that passed in the wee hours of January 1st didn\u2019t address the real economic issues threatening a fiscal cliff for the United States ? the massive trade deficit and the rapidly escalating national debt. This article will show how these two economic issues are interrelated. The trade deficit grew from [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[17,16],"tags":[80,81,75,64],"class_list":["post-388","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economy","category-national-security","tag-fiscal-cliff","tag-loss-of-manufacturing-jobs","tag-national-debt","tag-trade-deficit"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/savingusmanufacturing.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/388","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/savingusmanufacturing.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/savingusmanufacturing.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/savingusmanufacturing.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/savingusmanufacturing.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=388"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/savingusmanufacturing.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/388\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":391,"href":"https:\/\/savingusmanufacturing.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/388\/revisions\/391"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/savingusmanufacturing.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=388"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/savingusmanufacturing.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=388"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/savingusmanufacturing.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=388"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}