Archive for October, 2025

Ohio Leads in Workforce Training

Tuesday, October 28th, 2025

Many of my business connections don’t think it is possible to train enough workers in manufacturing skills to fill the millions of open jobs in manufacturing.  I Have a more positive view because of all the successful programs I have written about over the past ten years.  After seeing a recent post on LinkedIn about workforce development in Ohio by Paola Masman, CEO and Creative Director of Masman Media located in Columbus, Ohio, I reconnected with her. I know Paola from when she was Media Director for the Coalition for a Prosperous America from 2017 to 2019 for which I was chair of the California chapter from 2013-2018 after being a member r since 2011.

Paola said, “Workforce development is a cornerstone of Ohio’s economic vitality, especially in an era where manufacturing requires advanced skills and adaptability. Ohio is in the midst of an economic renaissance. With billions in investment from companies like Intel, Honda, and others, Ohio is seeing incredible job creation across advanced manufacturing, semiconductors, logistics, and biotech. And the training infrastructure to meet this moment is already here: Several state agencies, notably the Ohio Technical Centers (OTCs), facilitate the upskilling and reskilling of workers to meet industry demands. These programs offer accessible pathways to lucrative careers through short-term certificate programs and specialized training tailored to the needs of Ohio’s robust manufacturing sector. The Ohio Technical Centers, community colleges, short-term credential programs, and upskilling initiatives are ready to equip our workforce. But there’s a problem, no one knows these opportunities exist.

I told her that is what I have found to be the case in California and many other states that have successful programs about which I have written.  I asked her why and when her company got involved with workforce development. She replied, “In 2021 after COVID shutdowns ended, manufacturers were open and the difficulty in finding skilled workers that had existed prior to the shutdowns became worse.  We saw the need to assist manufacturers in a new way to develop a skilled workforce and fill the pipeline. There are incredible job opportunities in manufacturing, and it was time to help workers get the training they need to bridge the gap. That’s where my company, Masman Media comes in. We are a full-service advertising agency with six full-time employees that lives inside this ecosystem.  We get hired by organizations, colleges, workforce boards, and economic development organizations for our expertise in manufacturing marketing as well as workforce development marketing. We work directly with colleges, OTCs, manufacturers, economic development organizations, industry sector partnerships, and workforce boards. Our job is to raise awareness and drive action, connecting people to programs that change lives and fill critical jobs. We’re not just a media-buying agency. We create the stories, the videos, the ads, the flyers, the landing pages, the scripts, and the strategies that get people to stop scrolling and start thinking, “Maybe that could be me.”

She explained, “We specialize in program-specific marketing, because telling someone to “go to college” isn’t enough. We tell them about the EMEC program that can lead to a $60,000/year technician job at Intel. Or the mechatronics certificate that gets them hired at a local manufacturing facility in 10 months. And we’ve seen it work: over 8,500 leads, 697 program registrants, and a 55% growth in one college’s engineering tech program just from one campaign. Some of the programs ae free and some have fees.  The OTC even has a free 4-week program to train people for entry level manufacturing jobs paying $19.50/hour. 

Working alongside regional partners and education providers, a single campaign produced 8,500 leads for technician pathways in advanced manufacturing. Because the training is employer-agnostic and stackable, participants remain job-ready across sectors like semiconductors, robotics, aerospace, and autonomous systems, regardless of individual facility timelines.”

I asked if they have measurable goals, and she said, “We track Key Performance Indicators such as how many leads are we getting, how many registrations are we getting from the leads, and how many students earn certificates. It’s harder to track the registrations because partner organizations are following up on the leads from the ad campaigns. We understand the urgency of the skilled talent gap, the nuance of marketing short-term training, and the importance of storytelling in economic development. That’s why Masman Media exists. We’re proud to be part of this mission in Ohio and we’re just getting started.”

I thanked Paola for sharing information about Ohio’s successful training program and wished her continued success.  Then, I researched the history of Ohio’s Career Technical Education and discovered that Ohio had long been a leader in this field.

In the 1970s when most states were ending their “shop” classes like machine shop, wood shop, and auto shop that had successfully trained students for non-college careers in the 1940s, 50s, and 60s, the “Ohio Department of Education instructed school districts to form career tech planning districts (CTPDs). The demarcation of a CTPD was largely defined by population, with each CTPD required to deliver secondary CTE instruction…State legislation requires every Ohio student in grades 7-12 to have access to 12 CTE programs across at least eight of the 16 Ohio-approved career fields.  Every local school district in the state is part of a CTPD of some kind.  Career-tech inspires students to identify paths to future success and provides students opportunities to demonstrate the knowledge and skills necessary for high school graduation and beyond. Students learn through career exploration, taking college courses and earning industry credentials. They receive customized learning that aligns their passions and interests to their career aspirations.”

Ohio Technical Centers (OTCs) are an association of independently operated career-technical institutions operating across the state, primarily linked to the Ohio Department of Higher Education to facilitate the upskilling and reskilling of workers to meet industry demands. These centers play a vital role in enhancing the job skills and professional competencies of Ohio’s workforce. They provide flexible, timely adult education programs tailored to meet the specific needs of local communities. Because of their strong partnerships with local employers, an OTC can deliver immediate and lasting impact to prepare workers for real-world job opportunities and requirements. “With 50 centers across the state, OTCs provide adult learners with the training and credentials required for the most in-demand jobs, offering a direct pathway to employment and career advancement. Each year, nearly 25,000 adults enroll in OTC programs. The most recent program completion and job placement rates were 82% and 97%, respectively.”

Example Certificates at OTCs for Manufacturing

  • Welding Technology Certificate:  Offered at centers like the Cuyahoga Valley Career Center and Great Oaks Career Campuses, this program covers arc, MIG, and TIG welding, blueprint reading, and industrial safety. It directly correlates with jobs in fabricating, construction, and automotive manufacturing.
  • Industrial Maintenance Technician:  The Columbus State Community College and various OTCs provide this training, focusing on machinery repair, PLC programming, and hydraulic systems. It’s a core pathway for maintaining the advanced machinery found in modern manufacturing plants.
  • CNC Machining Certificate:  Available at locations such as the Butler Tech Adult Education and the Penta Career Center, this program trains students in computer numerical control (CNC) operations, blueprint reading, and precision measurement—skills essential for jobs in parts manufacturing and metalworking.
  • Manufacturing Skills Standards Council (MSSC) Certified Production Technician (CPT):  Many OTCs offer the CPT certification, which covers safety, quality practices, manufacturing processes, and maintenance awareness—a foundational credential recognized nationally by manufacturing employers.

Other Key Workforce Development Initiatives in Ohio

  • OhioMeansJobs Centers: These centers, present in every county, provide job seekers with resume workshops, career counseling, and connections to apprenticeship and certificate programs, including those tailored for manufacturing.
  • Apprenticeship Ohio: Managed by the Ohio Department of Job and Family Services, this initiative supports earn-and-learn models in partnership with manufacturing companies, allowing individuals to gain paid work experience while earning industry-recognized credentials.
  • TechCred: The Ohio TechCred program reimburses employers for training current and prospective employees in technology-focused certificates, including those relevant to advanced manufacturing processes.

These programs are vital in preparing Ohio’s workforce to fill high-demand manufacturing positions that require technical proficiency and adaptability. By offering stackable credentials, accessible training, and strong employer partnerships, Ohio’s workforce development ecosystem empowers residents to achieve upward mobility while helping companies remain competitive in a global market.

If every other state would follow Ohio’s example of successful programs for workforce training for manufacturing jobs, the United States would be able to close the gap of insufficient skilled workers for unfilled manufacturing jobs in 10-12 years instead of a generation.   This would enable our country to become self-sufficient again domestically for the manufactured products needed to protect the health and welfare of American citizens and the products needed to defend and protect our country.   

Are Tariffs Creating Inflation?

Tuesday, October 14th, 2025

There is considerable debate on whether or not President Trump’s tariffs are creating inflation. Many economists argue that tariffs are inflationary because they directly raise the cost of imported goods and may lead to higher prices for domestic alternatives. This perspective was echoed by former Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen, who stated in 2022, “Tariffs tend to boost domestic prices and make goods more expensive.” This article will examine the data to determine whether tariffs are causing inflation.

When a government imposes tariffs on imports, the immediate effect can be raising the price of those imported goods. And, if domestic producers also increase their own prices, this can create upward pressure on the overall price level—an effect referred to as inflation.

However, some analysts believe the inflationary impact of tariffs depends on context. For instance, if tariffs are targeted at goods with plentiful domestic alternatives, or if the affected imports are a minor component of household spending, the inflationary effect might be muted. The Congressional Research Service notes: “The overall effect on inflation depends on the share of products subject to tariffs and the ability of consumers to substitute away from higher-priced imports.”

While there is agreement that tariffs tend to increase the prices of affected goods, the extent to which they contribute to overall inflation depends on the structure of the economy and the scope of the tariffs. Most empirical evidence suggests tariffs do put upward pressure on prices, but the scale and significance can vary.

After President Trump announced new and expanded tariffs on a wide range of Chinese imports in 2025—covering sectors like electric vehicles, batteries, and advanced technology—economists expressed their opinions on the likely impact on inflation. Here’s an overview of professional opinions from several economists and economic organizations:

1. Goldman Sachs

Goldman Sachs economists argued that “The new tariffs are likely to have a small direct impact on inflation, since the targeted products account for a minor share of consumer spending. However, if tariffs are broadened or trigger retaliation, the impact could be more significant, especially if supply chains are disrupted.” However, they noted that “broader or retaliatory tariffs could have a more meaningful effect if they lead to supply chain disruptions or higher costs for intermediate goods.”

2. Lawrence Summers (Former U.S. Treasury Secretary and Harvard Professor)

Lawrence Summers criticized the 2025 tariffs, stating, “Tariffs are taxes that get passed on to consumers. The more tariffs, the more upward pressure on prices,” and that the new measures “risk modest but noticeable increases in prices for consumers, especially on goods made with Chinese components.”

3. Paul Krugman (Nobel Laureate, New York Times Columnist)

Krugman wrote that while the immediate, direct impact of the 2025 tariffs on inflation “will likely be limited and largely sector-specific,” there’s a risk that trade wars escalate: “Retaliation and further trade barriers could eventually seep into broader price increases.”

4. Moody’s Analytics (Mark Zandi, Chief Economist)

Mark Zandi of Moody’s Analytics stated the 2025 tariffs “will have a marginal, temporary effect on inflation,” estimating an increase of “less than 0.1 percentage point” on the Consumer Price Index in the following year. He cautioned, however, that “if the trade conflict escalates, the inflation impact could be more significant.”

5. Peterson Institute for International Economics

A policy brief from PIIE pointed out, “Past experience shows that tariffs are paid by U.S. importers and often passed on to consumers, though the 2025 set of tariffs mainly target industries where substitution is possible, potentially blunting the inflation impact.”


Summary Table

Economist/OrganizationOpinion on Inflation EffectSource Link
Goldman SachsSmall direct impact, higher risk if escalation occursGS Research
Lawrence SummersModest but noticeable upward pressure on pricesFinancial Times
Paul KrugmanLimited sectoral effect, bigger risk if trade war escalatesNYT
Mark Zandi (Moody’s)Marginal, temporary rise; more if conflict escalatesMoody’s Analytics
Peterson Institute (PIIE)Tariffs paid by importers, inflation muted by substitutionsPIIE

A September 25, 2025 report titled , “Tariffs Are Not Causing Inflation: Breaking Down August 2025 CPI” by Andrew Rechenberg of the Coalition for  Prosperous America argues “Inflation today is moderate, running far below the post-COVID peak and even below January 2025 levels, before any new tariffs were enacted. Furthermore, the main drivers of August 2025 inflation are housing shortages, energy demand, and food supply shocks — not tariffs.”

The report breaks down the August Consumer Price Index showing that the following drivers for inflation were:

  • Shelter: +0.4% m/m
  • Airline Fares: +5.9% m/m.
  • Beef: +2.7% m/m retail; +8% wholesale PPI.
  • Coffee: +6.9% m/m.
  • Electricity: +0.3% m/m
  • Eggs: flat m/m, but +10.9% Year over Year

Surprising to economists was the fact that many imported goods were not the drivers of inflation as shown below:

  • Autos: New vehicles rose +0.3% m/m and used vehicles +1.0% m/m
  • Steel & Aluminum: +0.4% m/m
  • Electronics: flat to +0.1% m/m
  • Pasta, Olive Oil, and Spices: 0.0–0.2% m/m

Andrew concludes: “If tariffs caused “economic disaster,” inflation wouldn’t be at 2.9% — it would look like 2022 all over again. Inflation data does not support these dire warnings. CPI rose just 0.2% in August, while PPI actually declined. As shown in Figure 1, Inflation today is running 63% below the 2022 average and even just below January 2025 inflation levels, hardly the sign of an “economic disaster.”

In reality, an examination of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) from March 2025 to July 2025 shows that the main drivers of price increases (inflation) are similar to the August report examined by CPA. 

1. Energy Prices

  • Import-related: Increases in global oil and gas prices due to geopolitical tensions or supply constraints (e.g., OPEC+ production cuts, Middle East instability) drove up domestic fuel and electricity prices.
  • Domestic: Infrastructure failures or domestic supply chain issues (e.g., refinery outages, grid failures) also boosted local energy prices.

2. Food Prices

  • Import-related: Rising prices of imported foodstuffs (such as coffee, cocoa, grains, or meat) due to poor harvests, supply chain disruptions, or currency depreciation.
  • Domestic: Domestic droughts, floods, or other adverse weather events affected local crop yields, and labor shortages increased local production costs.

3. Wages and Labor Costs

  • Domestic: Wage increases from tight labor markets or new government policies (minimum wage hikes) led to higher costs for services and goods, which was passed on to consumers.

4. Rents and Housing Costs

  • Domestic: Continued demand for housing, supply shortages, and higher mortgage interest rates pushed up rents and property costs.

As we can determine from data for the CPI from March to July 2025, the main drivers for inflation are related to domestic policies, not tariffs.  Each of these drivers could be explored in separate articles, but that would be out of my area of focus and expertise. 

Thus, I continue to support President Trump’s tariffs that will balance our trade deficit and help rebuild American manufacturing.  I still believe that fluctuating tariffs on Chinese imports that are only temporary and at lower levels won’t have the lasting effect needed to rebuild America’s industrial base.  Tariffs on Chinese imports need to be made permanent at a high level (100-125%) to influence CEOs of American companies to decide to reshore manufacturing to America, expand existing plants, and/or build plants in new locations.  This action is truly the only way to Make America Great Again.