Archive for March, 2022

Clarifying Misperceptions about American Manufacturing

Tuesday, March 22nd, 2022

There are several misperceptions about American manufacturing that I will clarify in this article.

The first misperception is Manufacturing is in inevitable decline.

Evidence that this is not true is provided by the latest U.S. Manufacturing Technology Orders Report published by the Association For Manufacturing Technology AMT on March 14, 2022. It states, “Manufacturing technology orders totaled $436.6 million in January 2022…January orders were also the strongest on record since USMTO began tracking orders.

The United States still maintains its second position as the world’s largest manufacturing country by a substantial lead over Japan at third place.

U.S. can’t compete with China

First, rising wages in China are helping U.S. manufacturers be more competitive in the global marketplace.

Second,the Total Cost of Ownership Worksheet calculator developed by Harry Moser’s Reshoring Initiative is helping more and more American manufacturers be competitive domestically so they can reshore manufacturing from overseas back to America. The TCO worksheet is available for free at www.reshorenow.org., According to data provided by the Reshoring Initiative, we regained one million jobs through reshoring and foreign direct investment between 2010 to 2021.

Manufacturing doesn’t pay wages for a middle-class family life

According to the National Association for Manufacturers, “average hourly earnings of production and nonsupervisory workers in manufacturing rose 0.5% from $24.37 in December to $24.48 in January, up from $23.27 in January 2021.” While these wages for production workers may be as low as some retail and service jobs, the wages for skilled workers range from $60,000 to $80,000/year. Salary and supervisory workers in manufacturing “earned $92,832 on average, including pay and benefits.”

The reality is that skilled trade jobs provide an excellent career opportunity for those looking for a stable, high-demand, high-paying job. Workers with the skills needed by manufacturers are in high demand. There were 856,000 manufacturing job openings in December. It was the ninth straight month with openings that have exceeded 800,000, with job postings remaining well above pre-pandemic levels.” The manufacturing industry has forecasted to have 2.1 million unfilled jobs by 2030.

According the 4th quarter 2021 Manufacturer Outlook Survey, “85.2% had unfilled positions within their companies for which they were struggling to find qualified applicants. Companies were addressing the skills shortage by creating or expanding internal training programs (62.7%), utilizing temporary staffing services (50.4%), collaborating with educational institutions on skills certification programs (41.2%) and encouraging possible retirees to stay longer in their roles (39.9%) …”

Manufacturing jobs are boring, dirty, and dangerous

While one picture is worth a thousand words, I can’t include enough pictures in this article to disprove this misperception. I will, however, explain why manufacturing jobs are not as boring, dirty, and dangerous as they previously were.

First, Congress created the Occupational Safety and Health Administration (OSHA) as part of the Department of Labor to ensure safe and healthful working conditions for workers by setting and enforcing standards and by providing training, outreach, education and assistance. “Under the provisions of the Occupational Safety and Health Act of 1970 (OSH Act), employers must provide a workplace free from recognized hazards that are causing, or are likely to cause, death or serious physical harm to employees regardless of the size of business.” OSHA standards cover hazardous chemicals and materials, machine operation, machine guarding, electrical hazards, fall protection, sanitation, indoor air quality, drinking water, ergonomic guidelines, temperature & weather, personal protective equipment, etc.

Second, in the past 20 years, there have been standards established by the International Organization for Standardization (ISO) that cover quality Management, Information Security, Occupational Health and Safety, Medical Devices, among many others. It has become common for companies to be required to get certified that they meet these standards in order to become a vendor or service provider.  Aircraft companies and their supply chain are required to be certified to AS9100, and automobile manufacturers are required to meet TS 16949 standards.

Third, the use of automation, robots, cobots, and sensors are reducing dangerous and physically difficult tasks in manufacturing.  The difference between robots and cobots is that robots are programmed to perform a standalone function and cobots are design to partner with a person to perform a function.

For example, a robot can pick up a slab of hot glass off the production line in making sheet glass and place the sheet in a stack.  Robots have taken over dipping and swirling a sprue loaded with wax parts into the ceramic slurry to make an investment casting. A cobot can rotate a part to allow a person to perform a task, such as assembly of a transmission on an automobile production line. Sensors can detect whether a person’s hand or other body part is in the way of a machine operation and stop the machine.  All stamping machines have such sensors to make sure a person’s hand is out of the way before the punch press stamps out the metal part.

Fourth, processes that would be very boring for a person to do repetitively have been automated.  Some examples are cutting wire to be inserted into a plastic molding part, filling or sealing a plastic bag or bottle, placing labels on bottles, containers, and boxes, as well as placing components on a printed circuit board.   

Although many businesses have labeled these standards as too onerous and expensive, there is no doubt that they have dramatically enhanced the health and safety of American manufacturing workers.

Shifting the Narrative from ‘Inevitable Decline” to ‘Vibrant Opportunity.”

Now that we’ve clarified the common misperceptions about manufacturing, let me introduce you to a vision for the future.  I am now a founding member with Doug Berger of a new non-profit organization, Industry Reimagined 2030. The vision of Industry Reimagined 2030 is to bring about a generational sea-change in U.S. Industry from a prevailing worldview of “inevitable decline” to one of “‘vibrant opportunity.”

Thinking at a national scale is different than thinking at a national level.  Policy is at the national level.  Scaling successful initiatives at a local level to thousands of communities is thinking at a national scale.  In this regard, there are many local successes that I have written about previously that aren’t being scaled.

We are thinking from the future-back for these bold outcomes … standing in the gap to today and asking “What is missing?”  “What needs to happen?”  In this regard, we are advancing the idea of Reimagine Dialogues to engage people to be imaginative first and then develop practical action steps to close the gap.

By 2030 U.S. manufacturing will be revitalized, globally competitive and advancing societal interests.  There will be:

  • 50,000 world-class domestic manufacturers (10x increase)
  • Additional 5 million to the manufacturing-related, middle-income workforce (40%)
  • Environmental footprint to supply U.S. goods reduced by 30%
  • Consumer purchases of US made goods increased by $500 million

It will take unprecedented collaboration between ourselves and other organizations to achieve this vision. If you support the concept of these Reimagine Dialogues, please contact me at michele@savingusmanufacturing.com.

What is the State of America’s Manufacturing Supply Chain?

Tuesday, March 8th, 2022

It is crucial for American companies to make the right decision on where to outsource manufacturing to have a secure supply chain.  Choosing the wrong company or a company in the wrong location as a supplier can mean the difference between success and failure as a company.  Companies need to learn how important it is to carefully consider all of the factors that impact the decision of where to source manufacturing to be able to handle risks and disruptions in the supply chain to maintain operations in the event of natural disasters or unforeseen events such as the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as prepare for the future.

The Association of Manufacturing Excellence (AME) and Lean DNA “conducted market research to explore the specific areas in which manufacturers are looking to digitally invest, the top challenges inhibiting transformation, and the biggest opportunities on the table for 2022 and beyond.”  On February 18, 2022, they released a report titled, “State of Supply Chain in the New Shortage Economy” that presented the results of their research on the supply chain shortages manufacturers have been experiencing as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic.

The research revealed that new market dynamics are making it evident that existing processes are no longer sufficient.  Some of these new dynamics are: 

  • Supply chains have become progressively more complex
  • Manufacturers are dealing with increasingly customized orders from customers
  • Complex sub-assemblies and parts coming from increasingly global suppliers
  • Burdened planning and procurement teams
  • Volatile demand
  • Global materials shortages

The report states that because of the COVID-19 pandemic, “a majority of manufacturers feel increased pressure to digitally transform” [75%] and “more than three-fourths, also recognize the opportunity to improve customer satisfaction and reduce the number of operational issues through digital transformation. They anticipate that digitization, advanced analytics, and predictive intelligence are their best opportunities to achieve that.”

The report explained that digital transformation means:

  • Deploying advanced analytics and predictive intelligence (54.5%)
  • Ditching manual spreadsheets (19.5%)
  • Deploying data analytics and/or Business Intelligence (BI) (10.4%)
  • Automating and integrating supply chain functions (10.4%)
  • Inventing in ERP/IBP planning and scheduling tools (5.2%)

The results of the survey showed “glaring technology and process gaps that need to be addressed

first before the majority of manufacturers can truly adopt advanced and modern digital technologies. Overall, survey participants responded that they were still very early in their digital transformation journeys…” The biggest technology gaps in technology were identified as:

  • Reliance on spreadsheets and manual processes (32.5%)
  • Lack of connectedness between ERP, MRP, and more (19.5%)
  • Visibility into real-time supply and demand shifts (14.5%)
  • Inability to predict future shifts and make proactive decisions to counter issues (13%)
  • Inability to understand which inventory actions have biggest impact (11.5%)
  • Lack of skilled personnel (9%)

Manufacturers experienced the following challenges caused by the COVID-19 pandemic:

  • 86% Supply chain Disruptions
  • 52% Demand Forecasting Difficulties
  • 49% Working Remotely
  • 42% Demand Increases/Part and Inventory Shortages
  • 27% Demand Increases/Excess Inventory
  • 26% Visibility into Inventory and Shortage Data across sites and ERPs

Key findings of the survey were:

  • 65% of manufacturers are increasing visibility into factory inventory levels and requirements because of COVID-19, with an eye towards managing shortages.
  • 95% of manufacturers are investing in factory automation, but most haven’t automated the factory’s critical data and intelligence aspects.

The top hurdles to factory transformation were identified as:

  • lack of expertise (60%)
  • lack of resources (46%)
  • limited budget (43%)
  • ineffective change management (42%).

The survey identified the following top priorities for the manufacturers surveyed:  “Shortages (47%) and improving inventory turnover (43%), yet procurement and supply chain teams

don’t have the information they need to increase factory efficiency.”

The authors recommended that manufacturers “address this problem by having planning and procurement teams, and even suppliers, work together more efficiently…Digital transformation doesn’t mean rebuilding the technology stack from scratch, rather it can mean leveraging data and harnessing insights from existing systems and investments.”

Specifically, they recommended the follow three steps:

Understand – “collating data from ERP, MRP, and MPS systems, manufacturers can gain visibility across their material inventory levels and see the impact across their factory operations processes from planning to purchasing to manufacturing.”

Prioritize – sift through data “to isolate the most impactful insights and actions that will most

affect business results…identify and resolve critical shortages that prevent production from moving forward…identifying SKUs and component parts that have the highest monetary impact helps buyers to prioritize their time.”

Collaborate – Having a single, up-to-date view of materials inventory and demand is key to having

teams work efficiently together…planning and procurement can work in unison to optimize production, improve cash flow, reduce costs, and mitigate risk in delivering on-time. Collaboration is not only necessary internally within manufacturing organizations, but also with suppliers.”

What was missing from this survey was where their suppliers were located – in the U. S. or another country.  The survey would have been a good opportunity to learn how many manufacturers had suppliers in China and/or whether or not manufacturers had reshored manufacturing to the U.S. from China or another country.  We know that there were many more supply chain disruptions occurring from goods being shipped by container ships from China, especially last fall. In fact, the Reshoring Initiative lists long lead times and supply chain disruptions in the top ten reasons for reshoring manufacturing.

It is important to consider the geographical location of suppliers when a company seeks to establish a secure supply chain and mitigate disruptions as conditions change due to unexpected crises such as COVID-19, natural disasters, and transportation bottlenecks. Some of the advantages of prioritizing “Buy American” and “Buy Local” as a guideline in selection of suppliers are:

  • Faster lead times: 49-50% reduction
  • Delivery accuracy: 30-40% improved
  • Smoother Design Changes
  • Lower Cost of Inventory
  • Higher Quality
  • No Intellectual Property Infringement

It is also important to consider the technological depth, reserve capacity, and responsiveness of suppliers. These capabilities are more readily available from American companies. When demand is volatile, the ability of a supplier to either ramp up or slow down production will affect inventory costs and delivery performance to customers.  Since many Chinese companies require high volume orders to meet target prices, this is difficult to obtain from Chinese suppliers.

I highly recommend that American manufacturers carefully consider these factors in selecting suppliers in the future if they want to have a more secure supply chain.